Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bragantino3 - 2Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Bragantino 1-1 Barcelona SC (Bragantino advances on penalties)
Just like the first leg, we anticipate a close match on Wednesday, but with the football gods smiling on Braga, who have an excellent shot-stopper between the sticks, we believe they will have learned a lot from their exit at this tournament on penalties last year. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Barcelona SC |
60.09% ( -0.03) | 21.4% ( 0.02) | 18.51% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.06% ( -0.1) | 42.93% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.66% ( -0.1) | 65.33% ( 0.09) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.12% ( -0.05) | 13.88% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.71% ( -0.08) | 41.28% ( 0.07) |
Barcelona SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.13% ( -0.05) | 36.87% ( 0.05) |