MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:10:34| >> :60:1008:1008:
Bragantino
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Bragantino
3 - 2
Barcelona

Borbas (22'), Lincoln (46'), Jhon (86')
Mendes (45+3'), Helinho (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Preciado (7'), Oyola (44')
Leonai (48'), Arroyo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Bragantino and Barcelona SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Barcelona SC

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bragantino 1-1 Barcelona SC (Bragantino advances on penalties)

 Just like the first leg, we anticipate a close match on Wednesday, but with the football gods smiling on Braga, who have an excellent shot-stopper between the sticks, we believe they will have learned a lot from their exit at this tournament on penalties last year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawBarcelona SC
60.09% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 21.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 18.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.101 -0.1)42.93% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.33% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)13.88% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)41.28% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13% (-0.052 -0.05)36.87% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34% (-0.052 -0.05)73.65% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 60.08%
    Barcelona SC 18.51%
    Draw 21.4%
BragantinoDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.98% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.51%

How you voted: Bragantino vs Barcelona

Bragantino
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Barcelona SC
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 1.30am
Round of 32 1st Leg
Barcelona
1-1
Bragantino
Alman (31')
Castillo (2'), Sosa (72'), Raul (82')
Helinho (18')
Mosquera (42'), Alman (83')
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