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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Cambridge
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Bennett (36'), Cousins (88'), Thomas (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (65')
Clarke (37'), Taylor (54'), Pett (70'), Nuttall (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Both teams should be fresh having had their scheduled matches on Tuesday postponed due to waterlogged pitches, and it should be a fierce battle given that both sides are fighting against relegation. However, Cambridge are in better form and arguably have a little more individual quality to call upon, meaning that we expect them to edge a tight victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
49.6% (-4.469 -4.47) 25.88% (1.517 1.52) 24.52% (2.954 2.95)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-1.067 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-3.114 -3.11)54.52% (3.117 3.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-2.653 -2.65)75.87% (2.656 2.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-3.077 -3.08)22.01% (3.08 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-4.884 -4.88)55.33% (4.887 4.89)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (1.059 1.06)37.49% (-1.056 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (1.024 1.02)74.27% (-1.019 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 49.6%
    Cheltenham Town 24.52%
    Draw 25.88%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.838 -0.84)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.666 -0.67)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.529 -0.53)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.954 0.95)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.1% (1.14 1.14)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.493 0.49)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.656 0.66)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.212 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.245 0.25)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Cheltenham

Cambridge United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
1-0
Cambridge
Sercombe (5')
Goodwin (64'), Bonds (66'), Freestone (85'), Williams (90+2')

Bennett (54')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Cambridge
1-2
Cheltenham
Ironside (61' pen.)
Bonds (57'), Olayinka (79')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Cheltenham
2-1
Cambridge
N'Lundulu (59'), May (83')
May (28')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Cambridge
2-2
Cheltenham
Smith (22', 50')
Simper (40'), O'Neil (45+1')
May (23', 90+1')
Long (45+1'), Boyle (53'), Raglan (64'), May (72')
Boyle (82')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cheltenham
0-5
Cambridge

Freestone (28'), Wright (31')
Smith (37'), Pollock (52' og.), Ironside (63', 73', 88')
Smith (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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