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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Ipswich logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wintle (90+5'), O'Dowda (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moore (79')
Hladky (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Ipswich Town

As two of the form teams in the division, we expect a fiercely-competitive contest to play out at the Cardiff City Stadium. The home side will push hard for three points with draws no longer any use to them, but that may allow Ipswich to snatch a winner in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
25.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.6% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 48.58% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (-0.162 -0.16)52.47% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.14 -0.14)74.14% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)35.24% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.087 -0.09)71.99% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)21.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28% (-0.134 -0.13)54.72% (0.133 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.81%
    Ipswich Town 48.58%
    Draw 25.59%
Cardiff CityDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.81%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Ipswich

Cardiff City
16.0%
Draw
12.0%
Ipswich Town
72.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ipswich
3-2
Cardiff
Broadhead (59'), Ladapo (68', 78')
Clarke (33'), Burns (64'), Williams (90'), Broadhead (90+6')
Ramsey (30'), Ralls (52')
Tanner (38'), Ng (65'), Panzo (87')
Feb 21, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Hoilett (12'), Bogle (46'), Ward (91')
Morrison (83')
Celina (90')
Smith (60')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Ipswich
Zohore (36', 50'), Bennett (63')
Chambers (23')
Berra (53'), Pitman (68')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Cardiff
Varney (52')
Lawrence (37'), Chambers (91')
Gunnarsson (38')
Connolly (27'), Gunnarsson (87'), Pilkington (90'), Hoilett (93')
Bamba (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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