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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Leeds logo

Cardiff
0 - 3
Leeds


Ng (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bamford (13'), James (31'), Rutter (88')
Gruev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Leeds United

On the back of last week's debacle at Hillsborough, Cardiff may benefit from playing in such a high-profile fixture. Nevertheless, the superior quality comes from Leeds' ranks, and we feel that the visitors will edge this contest courtesy of a fast start to proceedings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
29.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.83% (0.0019999999999989 0) 45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63%51.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.47% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23%22.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.17%
    Leeds United 45%
    Draw 25.83%
Cardiff CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.17%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.46%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Leeds

Cardiff City
16.7%
Draw
9.5%
Leeds United
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Leeds
2-2
Cardiff
Cooper (49'), Summerville (90+5')
Ampadu (90+3'), Summerville (90+6')
Bowler (23'), Ugbo (39')
Meite (70')
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Leeds
5-2
Cardiff
Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Robinson (84', 90+3')
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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