Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves2 - 0Lusitania FC Lourosa
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Chaves and Lusitania FC Lourosa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Deportivo
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 Boavista
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 27 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lusitania FC Lourosa had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Lusitania FC Lourosa win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Lusitania FC Lourosa |
61.56% ( 0.53) | 22.41% ( -0.1) | 16.03% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
