Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
We said: Clermont 0-1 Toulouse
Clermont have put just two wins on the board from 13 home games this season, and as Toulouse pose far more of a goal threat, the visitors should drag themselves further clear of the drop zone; deepening their hosts' danger.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66% . A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%) . The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result Clermont Draw Toulouse 35.4% ( -0.55) 25.94% ( -0.16) 38.66% ( 0.72)
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.51)
50.02% ( 0.68) 49.97% ( -0.68)
28.04% ( 0.6) 71.96% ( -0.6)
72.81% ( -0) 27.19% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.4% ( -0) 62.6% ( 0)
74.66% ( 0.71) 25.34% ( -0.7)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.87% ( 0.96) 60.13% ( -0.96)
Clermont 35.4%
Toulouse 38.66%
Draw 25.93%
Clermont Draw Toulouse 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66%
How you voted: Clermont vs Toulouse
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rhs 2.0
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