Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Connah's Quay1 - 0Cardiff MU
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 New Saints
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Newtown
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
59.25% ( -0.21) | 20.93% ( 0.06) | 19.82% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 58.41% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.28% ( -0.04) | 38.72% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.97% ( -0.05) | 61.03% ( 0.05) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.22% ( -0.07) | 12.78% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.93% ( -0.16) | 39.07% ( 0.16) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% ( 0.13) | 33.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% ( 0.14) | 69.62% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads 59.25%
Cardiff MU 19.82%
Draw 20.93%
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Cardiff MU |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.82% |
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Cardiff MU
2-1
Connah's Quay
Evans (10', 54')
Jones (47')
Jones (47')
Dugan (23')
Dugan (47'), Edwards (67')
Dugan (47'), Edwards (67')
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Feb 24, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Cardiff MU
Nash (33'), Price (48' og.)
Kenny (68'), Davies (81')
Kenny (68'), Davies (81')
Rees (74')
McCarthy (57'), Evans (76'), Craven (84')
McCarthy (57'), Evans (76'), Craven (84')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
4-0
Cardiff MU
Kenny (11'), Nash (40', 90+3'), Wilde (85')
Davies (59')
Davies (59')
Samson (90+1')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-20 13:56:55
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 22 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 61 | 26 | 35 | 51 |
2 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 16 | 26 | 50 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 40 |
4 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 32 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 21 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 20 |
11 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 19 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 53 | -35 | 14 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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