We said: Coventry City 2-1 Derby County
After a handsome victory in the North-East on the weekend, Coventry should be confident of putting newly-promoted Derby to the sword at the CBS Arena.
The Rams struggle massively away from their Pride Park fortress, and we cannot envisage the visitors earning anything from this Midlands derby on Wednesday night.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.