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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Luton Town |
51.79% ( -0.26) | 23.43% ( 0.01) | 24.78% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% ( 0.2) | 44.2% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.2) | 66.58% ( -0.2) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( -0.02) | 17.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.7% ( -0.04) | 47.3% ( 0.04) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.36% ( 0.32) | 31.64% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.95% ( 0.36) | 68.05% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Luton Town |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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