Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.