MX23RW : Monday, January 13 06:10:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 0
Mainz

Gotze (72')
Pacho (24'), Nkounkou (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Widmer (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Mainz 05

 Frankfurt's slip-up last weekend shows they may find it tougher to retain a spot in Europe again this season and could find it difficult despite coming into the game as favourites. Mainz have been very difficult to beat since Siewert took over, and while they do need to start winning games soon, another draw here would be a good result for Die Nullfunfer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eintracht Frankfurt in this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
43.9% (0.13 0.13) 25.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 31.05% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 56.05% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)69.45% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.045999999999992 0.05)21.52% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.070999999999998 0.07)54.58% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)28.58% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.126 -0.13)64.38% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 43.9%
    Mainz 05 31.05%
    Draw 25.05%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.05%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz

Eintracht Frankfurt
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Mainz 05
6.4%
141
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Jae-sung (25')
Fernandes (55'), Kohr (75'), van den Berg (86')
Marmoush (90+1')
Koch (32'), Toppmoller (33'), Knauff (49'), Marmoush (90+2'), Svensson (90+6')
Knauff (61')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Frankfurt
3-0
Mainz
Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Mainz
2-2
Frankfurt
Ingvartsen (10', 49')
Caricol (51'), Bell (56')
Tuta (26'), Borre (35')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Lindstrom (35')

Caricol (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246
> Bundesliga Full Table


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