MX23RW : Monday, November 18 02:51:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heracles Almelo

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heracles

Jensen (79')
Toornstra (41'), Elkarouani (74'), van der Hoorn (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sonnenberg (89'), Vejinovic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, February 18 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heracles
Friday, February 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heracles

After firing in eight goals during their last two home matches, Utrecht should be confident of securing three points against a Heracles side who struggle on their travels. Friday's visitors have lost back-to-back away contests recently, and we can envisage that run stretching to three games for Heraclieden at Stadion Galgenwaard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 3-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeracles
68.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02) 17.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 14.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.31% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)35.19% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.025000000000002 0.03)71.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 68.09%
    Heracles 14.4%
    Draw 17.5%
FC UtrechtDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 68.09%
1-1 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.5%
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heracles

FC Utrecht
80.0%
Draw
16.0%
Heracles
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
1-3
Utrecht
Nankishi (62')
Limbombe (25'), Willems (60'), Vejinovic (73')
Romeny (5'), Jensen (45+6'), Bakboord (90+4' og.)
Bozdogan (34'), Fraulo (58'), Barkas (89')
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
Nov 28, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Utrecht
1-0
Heracles
Knoester (90+3' og.)
Paes (80')

Rente (83')
Jan 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 17
Utrecht
2-0
Heracles
Van de Streek (31'), Dalmau (72')
van Overeem (34'), St Jago (89')

Breukers (40')
Nov 1, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 7
Heracles
4-1
Utrecht
Vloet (2', 63', 71'), Van der Water (45+1')
Szoke (26'), Rente (61')
Gustafson (62' pen.)
Ramselaar (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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