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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
32.56% ( -1.09) | 21.88% ( -0.03) | 45.56% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.58% ( -0.27) | 31.42% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.12% ( -0.32) | 52.88% ( 0.33) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.98% ( -0.68) | 20.02% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.78% ( -1.11) | 52.22% ( 1.11) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( 0.29) | 14.55% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.41% ( 0.56) | 42.59% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |