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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
59.98% ( 0.21) | 20.23% ( -0.15) | 19.79% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.91% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.56% ( 0.64) | 35.44% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.53% ( 0.71) | 57.47% ( -0.71) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.45% ( 0.25) | 11.55% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.52% ( 0.54) | 36.48% ( -0.54) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( 0.33) | 31.14% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.53% ( 0.38) | 67.47% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.98% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 19.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |