Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Almere City |
58.9% ( 0.02) | 21.77% ( -0.03) | 19.33% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% ( 0.14) | 43.35% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.26% ( 0.14) | 65.75% ( -0.14) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.62% ( 0.06) | 14.38% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.73% ( 0.11) | 42.28% ( -0.1) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.77% ( 0.09) | 36.23% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.99% ( 0.09) | 73.01% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Almere City |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.89% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |