MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:45:45| >> :600:18924858:18924858:
Greenock Morton
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cappielow Park
Hearts logo

Morton
0 - 1
Hearts


Baird (24'), Broadfoot (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vargas (86')
Devlin (43'), Grant (59'), Shankland (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Greenock Morton and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Celtic
Sunday, March 3 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Greenock Morton 1-4 Hearts

 With all the pressure on Hearts, Morton will feel like they can play with a certain level of freedom to cause one of the upsets of this year's competition. However, we cannot see Hearts faltering on Monday night, the visitors likely to run out convincing victors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
34% (-0.341 -0.34) 25.79% (0.032 0.03) 40.2% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-0.202 -0.2)49.56% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (-0.181 -0.18)71.58% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)27.84% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)63.44% (0.392 0.39)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)24.33% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)58.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 34%
    Hearts 40.2%
    Draw 25.79%
Greenock MortonDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Morton vs Hearts

Greenock Morton
11.4%
Draw
6.3%
Hearts
82.3%
79
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7.05pm
Gameweek 25
Morton
0-0
Hearts
Souttar (79')
> Match Report
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Hearts
1-1
Morton
Walker (71')
Halliday (5')
McGuffie (53')
McGinty (21'), Colville (56'), Salkeld (65'), Blues (67')
> Match Report
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morton
0-2
Hearts
Walker (37', 49')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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