MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 23:23:24| >> :600:459881:459881:
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bravida Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hacken
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Hacken and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brommapojkarna 2-1 Hacken
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Hacken 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen have been sensational this season and are gobbling up team and individual records with each passing week. Few sides have been able to contain their rampant attack this term, and we doubt the hosts will be able to stop them in this one. A comfortable away win is how we see this match ending. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.93%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.84%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Hacken win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HackenDrawBayer Leverkusen
24.07% (-0.167 -0.17) 20% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 55.93% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 68.4% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.48% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)28.52% (0.063999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.62% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)49.38% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)23.61% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-0.221 -0.22)57.69% (0.217 0.22)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54% (0.025000000000006 0.03)10.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.94% (0.061000000000007 0.06)34.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hacken 24.07%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.93%
    Draw 20%
HackenDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.07%
1-1 @ 8.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.29% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.74% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.86% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.93%

How you voted: Hacken vs B. Leverkusen

Hacken
10.0%
Draw
14.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
75.7%
70
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Hacken
Wirtz (10'), Adli (16'), Okoh Boniface (66'), Hofmann (70')
Tapsoba (30')
rhs 2.0
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