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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
63.72% ( 0.16) | 19.75% ( 0.17) | 16.53% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.2% ( -1.47) | 38.8% ( 1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.89% ( -1.56) | 61.12% ( 1.56) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.44% ( -0.39) | 11.56% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.5% ( -0.84) | 36.5% ( 0.85) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -1.29) | 36.66% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -1.33) | 73.45% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.72% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.75% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.34% Total : 16.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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