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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.21% ( -0.51) | 17.32% ( -0.19) | 66.47% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 64.81% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.63% ( -0.06) | 27.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.05% ( -0.08) | 47.95% ( 0.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.59) | 29.75% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.72) | 65.81% ( 0.72) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.26% ( 0.13) | 7.74% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.45% ( 0.32) | 27.55% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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