MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 13:18:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
5 - 0
AZ

De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Belic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Despite their poor run of form, Heracles have been showing the credentials to get something out of this contest. Nevertheless, AZ are also playing with the belief to edge a tight contest, and we expect that to materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.13% (0.264 0.26) 21.45% (-0.139 -0.14) 57.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.997 1)39.34% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (1.035 1.04)61.68% (-1.034 -1.03)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.816 0.82)32.14% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.917 0.92)68.62% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.291 0.29)13.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.575 0.57)40.58% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 21.13%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.41%
    Draw 21.45%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.6% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
19.6%
Draw
8.7%
AZ Alkmaar
71.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!