Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Gorleston had a probability of 9.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Gorleston win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.