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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Hull City
0 - 1
Middlesbrough


Vaughan (84'), Jones (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gilbert (90+3')
Barlaser (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Hull City
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-1 Middlesbrough

Hull are among the lowest scorers in the Championship, and they will surely be seeking reinforcements during the January transfer window. As a result, one goal might be enough for Middlesbrough to head home with maximum points, ending a frustrating run of draws. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.1% (-0.52 -0.52) 24.4% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 46.51% (0.589 0.59)
Both teams to score 57.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (0.014000000000003 0.01)45.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.352 -0.35)28.94% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.439 -0.44)64.82% (0.437 0.44)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (0.254 0.25)19.58% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (0.412 0.41)51.51% (-0.412 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 29.1%
    Middlesbrough 46.51%
    Draw 24.39%
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 46.51%

How you voted: Hull City vs Middlesbrough

Hull City
18.1%
Draw
9.7%
Middlesbrough
72.2%
72
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Azaz (24'), Conway (41', 79')
Borges (46')
Burstow (71')
Coyle (39'), McLoughlin (72')
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-2
Hull City
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds25157345162952
2Burnley25131023092149
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd25156434161849
4Sunderland25138438221647
5Middlesbrough25117742311140
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom25912431201139
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2411672822639
8Watford2411493434037
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2510693638-236
10Bristol City2581073230234
11Norwich CityNorwich258984136533
12Swansea CitySwansea2596102929033
13Millwall247892221129
14Coventry CityCoventry2578103335-229
15Preston North EndPreston2561182733-629
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Derby CountyDerby2576123134-327
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2476112739-1227
19Stoke CityStoke2568112432-826
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2358103040-1023
22Hull City2557132233-1122
23Cardiff CityCardiff2457122439-1522
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2447132453-2919


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