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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.1% ( -0.52) | 24.4% ( -0.07) | 46.51% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.14% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( 0.01) | 45.28% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( 0.01) | 67.62% ( -0.02) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( -0.35) | 28.94% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( -0.44) | 64.82% ( 0.44) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.41% ( 0.25) | 19.58% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.48% ( 0.41) | 51.51% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.1% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 46.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
2 | Burnley | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 49 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol City | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Millwall | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 19 |
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