Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 2-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.