Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Juventude3 - 2Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Criciuma
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Juventude 0-1 Fluminense
While Fluminense have turned a corner of late, they are yet to get going at the top end of the pitch, having failed to score two goals or more in a game since the start of June. That said, we are backing the visitors to claim a fourth 1-0 win in a row and steal a match on their hosts ahead of the return leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Fluminense |
33.78% ( 0.06) | 28.47% ( -0.03) | 37.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
