Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
48.79% ( 0.13) | 25.1% ( -0.03) | 26.11% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 52.54% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0.07) | 50.26% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% ( 0.06) | 72.21% ( -0.06) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( 0.08) | 20.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% ( 0.13) | 53.18% ( -0.12) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( -0.04) | 33.81% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% ( -0.04) | 70.47% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 55 | 7 | 48 | 53 |
2 | RangersRangers | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Dundee | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 25 |
9 | Ross County | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 24 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |