Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 1Hibernian
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Both sides have had challenging starts to the 2024-25 season, leaving them rather evenly-matched heading into this one, and we expect Sunday's game will end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
36.14% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0.02) | 38.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.09) | 48.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.08) | 70.51% ( 0.08) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.05) | 26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.97% ( -0.06) | 61.02% ( 0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.6% ( -0.07) | 59.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 36.14%
Hibernian 38.27%
Draw 25.58%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.27% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
Kilmarnock
26.3%Draw
31.6%Hibernian
42.1%19
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
