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LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Apr 22, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
San Jose Earthquakes

LA Galaxy
4 - 3
Earthquakes

Pec (14'), Paintsil (24' pen.), Yoshida (30'), Puig (56')
Paintsil (7'), Vanney (8'), Puig (72')
Zavaleta (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rodrigues (32'), Kikanovic (58'), Ebobisse (72' pen.)
Espinoza (45'), Gruezo (54'), Costa (65'), Skahan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 Colorado
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes

These matches tend to produce plenty of goals, and given the defensive deficiencies of each side, we expect to see the back of the net bulge a few times on Sunday. If it turns out to be a goal-fest, as we anticipate, that will favour the Galaxy, who are firing on all cylinders and have a lot more depth in the attacking third than the Quakes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.24% (0.48 0.48) 22.62% (0.232 0.23) 22.13% (-0.713 -0.71)
Both teams to score 56.11% (-1.756 -1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.58% (-1.874 -1.87)43.42% (1.873 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.18% (-1.869 -1.87)65.81% (1.868 1.87)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (-0.492 -0.49)15.6% (0.494 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (-0.92 -0.92)44.58% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.682 -1.68)33.51% (1.681 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.881 -1.88)70.15% (1.881 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 55.24%
    San Jose Earthquakes 22.13%
    Draw 22.62%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.623 0.62)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.433 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.6% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.419 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles Galaxy
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-3
LA Galaxy
Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
May 15, 2023 2.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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