Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.