Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Angers |
44.54% ( 0.5) | 26.07% ( 0.11) | 29.4% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.79% ( -0.72) | 52.21% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% ( -0.62) | 73.92% ( 0.62) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( -0.07) | 23.35% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( -0.1) | 57.31% ( 0.1) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% ( -0.81) | 32.28% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.22% ( -0.93) | 68.78% ( 0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |