Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Angers had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Angers win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lyon |
23.03% ( 0.16) | 22.05% ( 0.08) | 54.92% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.27% ( -0.17) | 39.73% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( -0.17) | 62.09% ( 0.18) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( 0.05) | 30.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( 0.05) | 66.92% ( -0.05) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% ( -0.13) | 14.43% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% ( -0.26) | 42.36% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.03% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |