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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSG logo

Lens
1 - 2
PSG

N'Zola (36')
Machado (45'), Thomasson (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ruiz (59'), Barcola (86')
Vitinha (29'), Mayulu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Lens
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 PSG's unbeaten league run and strong away form make them favourites against the hosts, who have struggled in this fixture. While last weekend's victory offers a boost for Lens, Les Parisiens' firepower, led by Dembele and Barcola, should be enough to secure another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
20.98% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 21.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 57.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.68% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.06% (-0.511 -0.51)37.94% (0.51 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.8% (-0.547 -0.55)60.19% (0.546 0.55)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.336 -0.34)31.47% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-0.389 -0.39)67.86% (0.389 0.39)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)12.92% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (-0.367 -0.37)39.36% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Lens 20.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain 57.91%
    Draw 21.11%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 4.7% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.72% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 20.98%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Lens vs PSG

Lens
9.8%
Draw
5.9%
Paris Saint-Germain
84.3%
51
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 8pm
Round of 64
Lens
1-1
PSG
(Aggregate 1-1 | PSG win 4-3 on penalties)
N'Zola (66')
Still (58'), Khusanov (75'), N'Zola (76')
Ramos (70')
Hakimi (67'), Marquinhos (75')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
PSG
1-0
Lens
Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lens
0-2
PSG

Gradit (45+3')
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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