Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.67% ( 0.12) | 23.98% ( 0.05) | 44.35% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% ( -0.19) | 42.07% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.52% ( -0.19) | 64.47% ( 0.18) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.02) | 60.54% ( 0.02) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.15) | 19.19% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( -0.25) | 50.88% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.67% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |