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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 3
PSG

Zhegrova (78')
Alexsandro (31'), Mukau (47'), Diakite (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vitinha (33' pen.), Barcola (36'), Kolo (90+2')
Beraldo (24'), Donnarumma (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Even though Lille were the last team to stop PSG winning the title in France, the Parisians have certainly gotten their revenge in meetings since, especially at this venue, as the visitors won 5-1 and 7-1 in the space of six months in 2022. Having now gone 25 games without defeat on the road in Ligue 1, PSG will feel confident of extending that run despite their hosts' equally-impressive start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
31.67% (0.117 0.12) 23.98% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 44.35% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.07% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.186 -0.19)42.07% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.188 -0.19)64.47% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)25.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)19.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.246 -0.25)50.88% (0.241 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lille 31.67%
    Paris Saint-Germain 44.35%
    Draw 23.97%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.52% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.67%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.35%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
12.0%
Draw
16.2%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%
117
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 21
PSG
3-1
Lille
Ramos (10'), Alexsandro (17' og.), Kolo (80')
Ugarte (35'), Mukiele (74')
Yazici (6')
Andre (16'), Ismaily (32'), Fonseca (40'), Alexsandro (52')
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lille
1-1
PSG
David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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