Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Angers |
57.55% ( 1.53) | 22.48% ( -0.49) | 19.98% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.47% ( 0.74) | 45.53% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.14% ( 0.7) | 67.86% ( -0.69) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% ( 0.78) | 15.56% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.49% ( 1.43) | 44.51% ( -1.43) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( -0.63) | 36.82% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -0.64) | 73.6% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |