MX23RW : Friday, November 1 01:30:39| >> :60:143:143:
Los Angeles FC
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Rose Bowl
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Olivera (17'), Bouanga (45+5' pen., 66'), Bogusz (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lopez (41')
Yarbrough (45+2'), Russell (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Leagues Cup clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 2-0 Austin
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Los Angeles FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes

The Quakes away record speaks for itself, and a side as opportunistic as LAFC should not need to do much to expose that leaky San Jose backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
71.08% (0.53299999999999 0.53) 15.95% (-0.174 -0.17) 12.97% (-0.361 -0.36)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.429 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.04% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)27.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.31% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)48.69% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.01% (0.090999999999994 0.09)6.99% (-0.0941 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.41% (0.245 0.25)25.6% (-0.248 -0.25)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)34.15% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (-0.57 -0.57)70.85% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 71.08%
    San Jose Earthquakes 12.97%
    Draw 15.95%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 8.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.128 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.65% (0.071 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 71.08%
1-1 @ 6.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.95%
1-2 @ 3.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 12.97%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
6-2
Earthquakes
Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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