Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.