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Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Kansas
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Earthquakes
Monday, May 15 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 San Jose Earthquakes

 Although San Jose have performed above expectations under their new manager, we expect Los Angeles to have too much individual quality for them this weekend. The MLS Cup holders will be highly motivated by the possibility of heading towards the top of the Western Conference table with a victory, especially having failed to win their last league game.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
72.2% (-0.405 -0.41) 16.36% (0.464 0.46) 11.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-2.164 -2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54% (-2.577 -2.58)34.45% (2.578 2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.62% (-2.958 -2.96)56.38% (2.957 2.96)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.708 -0.71)8.33% (0.7081 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95% (-1.793 -1.79)29.04% (1.793 1.79)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-1.891 -1.89)41.05% (1.891 1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-1.728 -1.73)77.59% (1.728 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 72.19%
    San Jose Earthquakes 11.44%
    Draw 16.36%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.672 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.75% (0.264 0.26)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.816 0.82)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.84% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.261 -0.26)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.4% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.245 -0.25)
6-0 @ 1.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.42% (0.435 0.44)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.36%
1-2 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 1.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.44%

Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Espinoza (8', 83' pen.)
Bouanga (30')
Bogusz (29'), Maldonado (85')
Aug 21, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-1
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (14'), Cowell (77')
Thompson (30'), Cardoso (31'), Kikanovic (60'), Remedi (74')
Opoku (54')
Ibeagha (42'), Acosta (67'), Sanchez (67'), Cifuentes (86'), Arango (90+6')
Sanchez (79')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
Oct 16, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 39
Los Angeles
3-1
Earthquakes
Musovski (3'), Arango (28' pen., 88')
Murillo (81'), Arango (86'), Farfan (90+3')
Fierro (61')
Marcinkowski (28'), Lopez (40'), Judson (90+9')
Sep 26, 2021 3am
gameweek 35
Earthquakes
2-0
Los Angeles
Kikanovic (3'), Lopez (47')
Cardoso (31'), Espinoza (34'), Abecasis (64'), Lopez (86')

Crisostomo (39'), Cifuentes (75'), Edwards (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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