Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.33%) and 1-3 (6.23%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.