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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
55.46% ( -0.13) | 22.65% ( 0.05) | 21.89% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% ( -0.12) | 43.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( -0.12) | 66.21% ( 0.12) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( -0.08) | 15.67% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% ( -0.16) | 44.7% ( 0.16) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.04% ( 0.01) | 33.96% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.36% ( 0.01) | 70.64% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.47% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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