FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough0 - 1Blackburn
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Cardiff
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
43
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Blackburn Rovers (Middlesbrough win on penalties)
There is almost nothing to separate the sides in the Championship table, and both managers could be tempted to make some personnel changes with the promotion picture hotting up. The two sides have won very few games in recent weeks, and this one may go all the way, with Boro proving tough to beat, even if they have only won two of their last six matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
58.84% ( -0.03) | 22.31% ( 0.01) | 18.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
