Millwall1 - 0Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
for
We said: Millwall 3-0 Plymouth Argyle
After battling back for a point against Derby on the weekend, Millwall will be desperate to grab all three points against Plymouth on Wednesday night. The Green Army are woeful on the road and with little time between Saturday's mauling at Cardiff and the trip to The Den, we are expecting a similar result for Rooney's side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
58.31% ( 0.71) | 23.29% ( -0.31) | 18.39% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( 0.63) | 51.08% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( 0.55) | 72.94% ( -0.56) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( 0.49) | 17.24% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.44% ( 0.85) | 47.55% ( -0.86) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.11) | 41.78% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.75% ( -0.09) | 78.25% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.39% |
