MX23RW : Friday, November 1 02:19:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Penarol

Wanderers
0 - 0
Penarol


Suarez (52'), Figueredo (59')
FT

Homenchenko (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, December 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Saturday, December 2 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
23.27% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 25.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 51.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (0.015000000000001 0.02)52.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (0.013000000000002 0.01)73.98% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (0.056000000000004 0.06)37.39% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (0.058 0.06)74.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)52.53% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 23.27%
    Penarol 51.7%
    Draw 25.01%
Montevideo WanderersDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.66% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.27%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 51.7%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 3
Wanderers
0-0
Penarol
Camargo (42'), Figueredo (61'), Risso (68'), Fonseca (71')
Menosse (76'), Sanchez (90+1'), Homenchenko (90+4')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Penarol
1-1
Wanderers
Rodriguez (15' pen.)
Hernandez (26'), Menosse (71'), Arezo (90+5')
Fonseca (68')
Fonseca (36'), Cerro (57'), Fonseca (71')
Cerro (90+6')
Oct 2, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 11
Wanderers
0-2
Penarol
Rak (13'), Laquintana (90+2')
Jul 16, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 5
Wanderers
3-3
Penarol
Bravo (42'), Hernandez (58'), Santurio (69')
Univaso (30'), Bravo (39'), Garcia (80'), Lacerda (86'), Silveira (87')
Estol (87')
Bentancourt (34', 48', 90+5')
Alvarez (42'), O'Neil (44')
May 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Penarol
1-0
Wanderers
Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Gargano (11'), Ramos (32'), Mansilla (44'), Musto (90+1')

Bravo (40'), Veglio (45+2'), Aguirre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol96211731420
2NacionalNacional96211981120
3Boston RiverBoston River9612139419
4DanubioDanubio9441104616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing935197214
6Rampla JuniorsRampla94231010014
7FenixFenix94141012-213
8Miramar Misiones9342810-213
9Defensor SportingDefensor93331211112
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers93241112-111
11River PlateRiver Plate93241116-511
12Cerro Largo923457-29
13CerroCerro9234814-69
14LiverpoolLiverpool9144710-37
15ProgresoProgreso9135410-66
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9018415-111
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!