Monza0 - 1Lazio
We said: Monza 1-3 Lazio
Even if Monza manage to gain the lead, Lazio are at their strongest during the final third of matches and have sufficient firepower to blow them away. The Biancocelesti have scored more goals during the final 30 minutes than any other Serie A side this season - no fewer than 12 in 11 games - so they will surely pick up maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
23.78% ( -0.42) | 24.76% ( -0.07) | 51.46% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.1) | 50.78% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( -0.09) | 72.68% ( 0.09) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.43) | 36.09% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.44) | 72.87% ( 0.45) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.16) | 19.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.25% ( 0.26) | 51.75% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.45% |
