Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
42.62% ( -0.47) | 27.56% | 29.81% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 47.66% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.23% ( 0.17) | 57.76% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% ( 0.13) | 78.5% ( -0.14) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( -0.17) | 26.81% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( -0.23) | 62.1% ( 0.22) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% ( 0.45) | 34.88% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( 0.47) | 71.62% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 29.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |