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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Genoa logo

Lazio
3 - 0
Genoa

Noslin (21'), Pedro (86'), Vecino (90+4')
Noslin (29'), Gila (55'), Marusic (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sabelli (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: FC Twente 0-2 Lazio
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Genoa

 Having rested some key players on Thursday, an in-form Lazio squad should secure another win at the weekend, as they have too much firepower for their ailing opponents. Now burdened by numerous injuries, Genoa have already conceded a league-high 13 goals during the second half of games this season, so they will eventually crumble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawGenoa
66.97% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 20.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 12.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Both teams to score 42.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.23% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)73.06% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.65% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)42.34% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.73% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.26% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.16% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)84.84% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 66.97%
    Genoa 12.39%
    Draw 20.63%
LazioDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 66.97%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.63%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 12.39%

How you voted: Lazio vs Genoa

Lazio
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Genoa
0.0%
84
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Genoa
0-1
Lazio

Vogliacco (17')
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Genoa
Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')
Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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