Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense2 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, November 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Porto
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
We said: Moreirense 1-3 Porto
Having suffered two straight defeats before the break, Porto will be looking to find their feet in the cup and secure a morale-boosting result ahead of their Europa League clash against Anderlecht next Thursday. While Moreirense will be looking to continue from where they left off against the Gilistas, Bruno's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with the desired result here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.11%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
13.55% ( -1.48) | 21.35% ( -0.55) | 65.09% ( 2.03) |
Both teams to score 43.61% ( -1.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.39% ( -0.64) | 51.6% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.6% ( -0.56) | 73.39% ( 0.56) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.39% ( -2.59) | 48.61% ( 2.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.33% ( -1.94) | 83.67% ( 1.94) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( 0.45) | 15.13% ( -0.44) |