Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
76.33% ( -0.51) | 15.07% ( 0.23) | 8.6% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 47.21% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.65% ( -0.07) | 37.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% ( -0.07) | 59.57% ( 0.07) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.87% ( -0.13) | 8.13% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.46% ( -0.32) | 28.53% ( 0.32) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.39% ( 0.62) | 48.61% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% ( 0.44) | 83.68% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.32% | 1-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.07% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 8.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 19 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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