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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
Mali national football team

Mozambique
0 - 1
Mali


Nene (25'), Mandava (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doumbia (19')
Camara (23'), Diarra (90+7'), Bissouma (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 0-3 Mozambique
Monday, October 14 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 1-2 Mali

 With Mozambique and Mali level on points at the top of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Zimpeto as they look to get the better of each other and move into pole position in Group I. While Mozambique have home advantage, Chelle's men are stronger on paper and we are tipping them to come away with a close victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
MozambiqueDrawMali
26.38% (-0.029 -0.03) 29.04% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 44.58% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 41.88% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)64.09% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.75% (0.058 0.06)83.25% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.022999999999996 0.02)41.2% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.74% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.075000000000003 0.08)28.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 26.37%
    Mali 44.57%
    Draw 29.03%
MozambiqueDrawMali
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.37%
1-1 @ 13.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.03%
0-1 @ 14.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Mali

Mozambique
43.3%
Draw
23.3%
Mali
33.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Mali
1-1
Mozambique
Bissouma (52')
Diakite (74')
Catamo (37')
Guimaraes (28'), Ernan (81')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2014 5pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
1-2
Mali
Josemar (38')
Mazive (90')
Sidibe (48'), Traore (90')
> Match Report
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> Premier League Full Table


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