We said: Mozambique 1-2 Mali
With Mozambique and Mali level on points at the top of the table, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio do Zimpeto as they look to get the better of each other and move into pole position in Group I. While Mozambique have home advantage, Chelle's men are stronger on paper and we are tipping them to come away with a close victory on Friday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 44.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mali in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mali.
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