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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 58.9%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
20.78% ( -0.18) | 20.33% ( 0.01) | 58.9% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.58% ( -0.32) | 34.43% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.65% ( -0.36) | 56.35% ( 0.36) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -0.34) | 29.63% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( -0.42) | 65.67% ( 0.42) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.47% ( -0.05) | 11.53% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.56% ( -0.12) | 36.44% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 20.78% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |