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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
73.68% ( 0.01) | 14.96% ( -0.01) | 11.36% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.66% ( 0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.09% ( 0.03) | 47.91% ( -0.04) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.63% ( 0) | 6.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.1% ( 0.02) | 23.9% ( -0.02) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( 0.01) | 36.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( 0.01) | 72.89% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 73.68% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% 0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 14.96% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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