MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 03:31:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
NEC

PSV
2 - 0
Nijmegen

de Jong (11' pen.), Til (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Proper (75')
Sano (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 3-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 NEC

PSV are unstoppable at the moment, and we cannot envisage any other outcome from this one rather than a comfortable victory for the reigning champions to keep the juggernaut rolling. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.68%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for NEC had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
73.68% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 14.96% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01) 11.36% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.66% (0.025999999999996 0.03)27.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.09% (0.034000000000006 0.03)47.91% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63% (0.0049999999999955 0)6.37% (-0.0078999999999994 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.012 0.01)36.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.013000000000002 0.01)72.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 73.68%
    NEC 11.36%
    Draw 14.96%
PSV EindhovenDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 3.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 73.68%
1-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 14.96%
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.36%

How you voted: PSV vs Nijmegen

PSV Eindhoven
95.1%
Draw
2.4%
NEC
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
3-1
PSV
Schone (43' pen.), Sano (49'), Sow (63')
Bakayoko (20')
Ramalho (10'), Veerman (42')
Sep 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
PSV
4-0
Nijmegen
De Jong (37', 49' pen.), Lang (38'), Pepi (87' pen.)
de Jong (33')

Pereira (26'), Ross (62'), Dost (86')
Apr 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
2-4
PSV
Tannane (59', 87')
De Jong (7', 50'), Boscagli (21'), Veerman (39')
Oct 30, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
PSV
3-0
Nijmegen
El Ghazi (18'), De Jong (50' pen.), Madueke (84')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-2
Nijmegen
Doan (26'), Gutierrez (36'), Zahavi (61')
Duelund (66'), Okita (72' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ75111741316
3FC UtrechtUtrecht6510116516
4FC Twente7421135814
5Willem II8323119211
6Ajax5311103710
7Feyenoord6240126610
8Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
9Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
10Groningen723210829
11Heracles723269-39
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City8026219-172
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!